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How AI Learns to Forget

Cognitive memory architecture - Ebbinghaus decay, flashbulb memories, and LLM evaluation.

The Problem with Perfect Memory

AI systems have perfect memory. They never forget. They recall every detail with complete accuracy.

This is a disaster for believable social simulation.

Real players do not have perfect recall. They vaguely remember someone was acting suspiciously but cannot recall exactly when. They conflate conversations from different days. They feel certain about events that occurred differently than they remember.

This imperfect memory isn't a flaw - it's essential to authentic social interaction. When an AI cites facts perfectly across hundreds of exchanges, it feels artificial. When it expresses genuine uncertainty because memories have degraded, it feels human. This is crucial for simulating The Traitors convincingly.

What Memory Research Tells Us

Memory is Reconstructive

When you remember something, you're not playing back a recording. You're rebuilding the memory from fragments, filling gaps with plausible details. This introduces errors - and affects voting pattern accuracy.

Emotion Shapes Encoding

Events triggering strong emotions are remembered more vividly and persist longer. The emotion engine models this encoding process.

Forgetting Follows a Curve

Hermann Ebbinghaus discovered memory decays predictably: rapid initial forgetting, then gradual stabilisation. This "forgetting curve" has been replicated countless times.

The Forgetting Curve in Practice

Memory Retention Over Time

Immediate
100%
1 phase
80%
3 phases
55%
5 phases
40%
10 phases
25%

Clarity Markers: Communicating Uncertainty

Based on memory strength, each memory is tagged with a clarity marker that guides how the AI expresses certainty:

CLEAR "I distinctly remember Marcus was the last person leaving."
FUZZY "I think someone mentioned Marcus has medical training?"
VAGUE "There was something about an argument... Eleanor was involved, maybe?"

Flashbulb Memories

Certain moments are encoded with such intensity they persist almost indefinitely. In The Traitors, these include:

  • Being directly accused at the Round Table
  • Learning a trusted ally was murdered
  • Witnessing a dramatic banishment
  • Receiving a recruitment offer from the Traitors - especially significant for Green Cloaks

These memories start at maximum strength, decay slowly, and preserve emotional context. The AI can describe these with vivid, persistent detail even many game phases later.

Testing Language Models

I tested three language models to see which best expressed appropriate uncertainty from memory markers:

GPT-4o-mini

3.1s response

Excellent emotional integration

Qwen 7B

9.3s response

Good but emotionally flat

Qwen 14B

53.6s response

Too slow for practical use

The Emotional Gap

The most significant difference emerged in emotional integration. For high anxiety (0.75):

GPT-4o-mini:

"I... I don't know, honestly. Marcus was the last person seen leaving before the poisoning, and I noticed he was whispering with Sarah. It's hard to shake off that feeling, but I'm not sure if we should jump to conclusions."

Qwen 7B:

"I'm not sure what to make of Marcus. I saw him whispering with Sarah before the meeting. I guess we'll have to wait and see."

For anxiety of 0.75, "wait and see" is far too passive. The hesitation, uncertainty markers, and emotional acknowledgement in the first response create authenticity the second lacks.

Key Takeaways

  1. Perfect memory is a liability for believable social simulation - designed forgetting creates authenticity. This applies to all player archetypes
  2. Memory quality markers (clear, fuzzy, vague) enable appropriate uncertainty expression
  3. Emotional encoding prioritises significant events, mirroring human memory enhancement
  4. Source monitoring enables appropriate attribution and hedging in dialogue
  5. Language model selection dramatically affects emotional expression quality - key for the overall AI architecture
  6. Local models suffice for development; production benefits from more capable cloud models. Future research will continue to explore model selection